The Tour de Ski has been a rock 'em-sock 'em set of races so far. In addition to the crazy weather, we've seen an unusual number of crashes, ranging from the meaningless to Kikkan Randall's digger in the classic sprint today. And we've seen some unexpected results, including Kowalczyk's incredible form, Bjørgen's vincibility, and Teichmann's from-nowhere win in the Oberhof 15k.
Given all that, I'm looking forward to the skiathlon on New Year's Day. It's going to be a brutal, fast-paced affair, I think, and here's how I think it's going to shake out: